The Commons
A shared civic home for Sebastopol and West County — bringing the library, gathering space, and community services together under one roof. The financial analysis is now published in full, and the questions it raises are open to you.
The vision, in one line
"The Commons" is the idea of a single, welcoming civic hub that serves all of West County — not scattered services in aging buildings, but one shared home for the things a community does together.
Four needs sit behind it: a library at half the size every study recommends, a senior center spread across four addresses, a city hall most staff have already moved out of, and a cultural center in the flood zone. Each is hard to fund alone. Together they can be financed, and that is what the analysis below sets out to test.
Why this work was done
This analysis was carried out to discover the opportunities — to find out what is actually possible and what each path would cost — not to make the case for a conclusion someone had already reached. Every figure is published with its source, and the models are open so you can move the assumptions yourself and see what changes.
No site decision has been made. Several questions are still genuinely unresolved, and they are named openly rather than smoothed over. This is the point at which public input and questions are most useful — while the numbers can still change. If something here looks wrong, I would rather hear it now than after a decision.
A recommendation, and what could change it
Read this as my working conclusion from the numbers on this page, not as a decision of record. The committee's formal recommendation is due September 15.
The O'Reilly campus is the only option studied that answers all four needs, and the only one that arrives with a way to pay for itself. It opens years sooner than a rebuild and costs roughly half as much.
That is where the numbers point today. Two unresolved questions could move it, and both are worth watching:
- The rent has no broker opinion behind it. Every O'Reilly figure rests on a placeholder rate of $1.75 a square foot per month.
- Bond counsel has not ruled on the lease. Tax-exempt borrowing allows only about 10% private business use. The assumed lease is more than four times that. If it does not survive, the City carries roughly $490,000 a year instead of nothing — the option still works, but it stops paying for itself.
Read my full reasoning, including the downsides and what this costs my own family →
What each path costs
The same three options measured the same way. Use the switch to see what happens if bond counsel rules against the lease that carries the O'Reilly loan.
| Measure | Wait and see | Rebuild downtown | Buy O'Reilly |
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Figures follow the model on the financing story page at its default settings — $18.0M all-in for O'Reilly, $32.0M for a downtown rebuild. Move the sliders there and these change; this table is the summary, not the model. Open the full analysis →
Questions and input are open
This analysis was done to find the opportunities, and it is genuinely unfinished business. If you see a number that looks wrong, an option that was missed, or a cost nobody has counted, that is worth more to the committee now than after September 15.
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Ask me directly
Questions about any figure on these pages, or about how the analysis was put together. This is a conversation, not the public record.
pcarter@cityofsebastopol.gov -
For the public record
Comment that should reach the whole Council and be recorded goes through the official channel — write to the full Council, or speak during public comment at a Council meeting.
council@cityofsebastopol.gov
Email to me is useful and I read all of it, but it is not a substitute for the official channel. If you want your view formally before the Council, use the Council address or public comment.
The complete financial analysis
What follows is the entire analysis, on this page: every site that was considered, every cost, and the working models. The sliders and switches are live — move them and the charts, totals and payoff years all recalculate.
It runs as seventeen numbered sections. The same material is also available as a full-screen presentation if you would rather read it that way, or project it.
Why I support this, and what it costs me
I have spent nine months on this — thinking it through, discussing it with a lot of people, debating the options, and losing a fair amount of sleep along the way. Having that time is part of the job, and I have been lucky to have it.
It would not be fair to hand you a slide deck and expect you to take in over an hour what took me the better part of a year. Closing that gap is my responsibility, not yours. There is no reason anyone should have to arrive already carrying nine months of context, and if this does not make sense yet, that means I have more explaining to do.
So I would rather over-explain than under-explain. I come at this from a systems point of view, and what follows is the whole picture as I see it, including the parts that count against it.
Quickly, on putting it to a vote
- A vote is not out of the question, and I would not oppose one on principle.
- Elections cost a lot of money and take a lot of time. The practical risk is that while we run one, the O'Reilly building sells or the terms change, the Senior Center moves on, and the vote becomes moot.
- The financing as modeled does not require a bond or a ballot measure. That is structure, not an attempt to go around anyone.
- What I would rather do is put the case in front of people in detail, take the criticism, take the time, and adjust. That is what the August 28 session is for. And after the city votes on September 15 to do due diligence, there is still plenty of time to dig in and help the whole city understand the choices, and why now.
Why the city would own the building and lease part of it
- The city would own it, and the city carries the risk.
- The building is larger than our own needs, and leasing the surplus is what keeps the General Fund impact small.
- Expertise is a legitimate question. The answer has to be a long-term anchor lease negotiated by people who do this for a living, with property management contracted out. We can contract that work to a professional firm, and probably should.
What doing nothing costs us
This is the biggest motivator for me, and for the city's finances. Sebastopol is good at doing nothing, and every year we do nothing it costs more to do the same thing. Not just inflation more. Extra more.
- We will spend over $400,000 on a mold issue and nearly drain our building emergency fund. We are negotiating with the Library JPA to cover some of it, but we will still end up roughly $200,000 out of pocket, with no library for about six months. I think there is a fairly high probability something like this happens again, and it could just as easily be City Hall or the Senior Center.
- We are putting roughly $550,000 into the Morris Street Community Cultural Center, still repairing from the last flood. There is a looming El Niño, and even if this winter comes out fine, the Laguna will almost certainly flood again. That building will be hard to insure and hard to raise private improvement money for.
- City Hall is jammed. We have constant scheduling conflicts for ordinary staff work, negotiations, committee meetings and builder meetings.
- The Senior Center is the most serious need. Membership growth has them turning people away, with classes spread across town. Most members drive or get rides.
- City Hall and the library do not meet current seismic or Library JPA ADA standards. Any new build or significant remodel triggers those requirements.
- We seriously explored numerous other buildings over the past three years for the Senior Center. If it does not go to O'Reilly, it needs at least $2 million to move somewhere out of town. Some value from its current building could go toward that, but genuinely viable alternatives are scarce.
Why the north side of town matters here
- Activating that area brings sales tax and new property tax, which is the part of the budget that can actually grow. The Lucky/Redwood shopping center needs to work harder for the city than it does today. What it could become is genuinely open — more active retail, housing, or some mix of the two — and that is a conversation with the owners and the neighborhood, not a call I would make for them. Parking lots are not economically productive — and yes, I am not a fan of parking minimums. That said, cars passing through are the largest contributors to our shops, not walkable residents, so we do need parking. Our city as an island can't survive on its own given we don't have a huge revenue generator like wine bottling, natural foods production, or tech.
- O'Reilly sits on the West County Trail, which connects us to Graton and Forestville. Those unincorporated towns are part of Sebastopol's economy and community through schools, events and sports.
- The County is helping through the EIFD, and as currently planned would match infrastructure spending dollar for dollar. That agreement is in process, not signed, and I will say so every time I bring it up.
- If new housing comes as infill near Ragle, we need to think hard about what walkability looks like on that side of town.
The downsides
- It reduces walkability for people who live in the city center. That is real and I am not going to argue people out of it. My family will experience it.
- The city takes on landlord obligations it does not have today, and the model depends on landing a strong anchor tenant. That work can be outsourced to a professional management firm, with the cost of the service built into the rents.
- The roof is near the end of its life and is a real cost — though we can go after grants for solar and batteries, which would add to the resilience of the property.
- What happens to the current downtown civic site becomes an open question. We have thought about it and canvassed outside developers. It will take rezoning, which I think is due in this city anyway.
My family lives blocks from downtown. Our kids were at Sunridge. The early release day routine of library, Minecraft and yogurt is exactly the thing many of our friends rely on.
A move away from downtown is not in my family's favor, and I know it is not in the favor of families close to us. I support it because the alternative is not the status quo. The alternative is spending money on aging buildings that still will not solve the space problem, and the Senior Center leaving town.
On the after school piece, it may be worth asking the church by Ives, which runs a teen center now, whether they could serve a younger age group. I would like to explore that seriously.
Why I support it anyway
- Everything doubles. The library, the Senior Center, all of it gets twice the space — and it is ADA, it has modern connectivity, it has light. I want to be in an awesome library. I want it to look like libraries I have had in my life, and it already looks like a great space to read and be in.
- It really creates a multigenerational campus. Parents can grab a coffee and work, grandparents can socialize, kids can play or hang out, and Analy kids can find a private space.
- I can see there being cowork and incubator space.
- Childcare almost certainly will be there — two preschools are very interested and want to be part of it.
- The Legacy craft store can be there.
- Modern offices for city staff will help morale, and we get better meeting space.
- It activates the north end economy and our connection to Graton and Forestville. Can you imagine biking the West County Trail to the library? And the trail improvement at Occidental Road and the old Union 76 station is in the works.
- My opinion only: thinning the parking stress to the north will help traffic, not add to it. The number of cars going from the city center just because of the library will not match the number of cars from the north that no longer enter the core intersection. That traffic never really benefited business — it only hurt it, because the center feels more hectic and not like a place you want to be.
- I support this for the Senior Center. Our senior population is growing fast, and it is really struggling in place.
- This is instant. There is no long build debate, no architect, no scope creep. It is what it is, and fit-outs are not nearly in the same financial ballpark as remodels or new builds. The Roseland Library still isn't done. I just can't see Sebastopol ever having the capacity to go into a remodel or build scenario. Sebastopol will just stay — which I understand can be okay — but if the library can look really new, how cool is that?
The official record, and the press
None of this replaces the City's own material. These are the primary sources, so you can check anything on this page against them.
The questions are still open
The committee's recommendation is due September 15. Until then the numbers can still move, and the most useful thing you can send is a question about one of them.